In the previous post [https://bounded-regret.ghost.io/thought-experiments-provide-a-third-anchor/], I talked about several "anchors" that we could use to think about future ML systems, including current ML systems, humans, ideal optimizers,

Previously, I argued [https://bounded-regret.ghost.io/future-ml-systems-will-be-qualitatively-different/] that we should expect future ML systems to often exhibit "emergent" behavior, where they acquire new capabilities that were not explicitly designed or

In 1972, the Nobel prize-winning physicist Philip Anderson wrote the essay " More Is Different [https://science.sciencemag.org/content/177/4047/393]". In it, he argues that quantitative changes can lead

Machine learning is touching increasingly many aspects of our society, and its effect will only continue to grow. Given this, I and many others care about risks from future ML systems and how

The previous post started forecasting the UK hospital peak (based on information through Dec. 21, 2021). We generated several considerations and ultimately focused on the Omicron doubling time, the peak number of cases,